‘So, if you look back at Hispanic voters at this point in the 2020 cycle, Joe Biden had a 25 point lead. Look at where that lead is today. It’s just seven points.’
A CNN data interpreter gave Democrats bad news following former President Donald Trump’s historic rally in the South Bronx on Thursday, noting Trump appears to be gaining momentum among minorities in the predominantly blue district.
Speaking to Kate Bolduan, CNN Senior Data Reporter Harry Enten explained how the rally represented a demographic shift among voters that should be worrisome for the Biden campaign.
“Look at the Crotona Park area, right? The Crotona Park precinct where that rally was held yesterday,” Enten told Bolduan. “It’s a majority Hispanic precinct, and I want you to take a look essentially at the election results over the last few cycles and what you would see there is essentially see, that look, this is a very Democratic precinct, right? But look at the margin trend line here.”
“You see Obama 94%, Obama 96%, Clinton 92%, Biden won it, but by only 69 points,” Enten continued. “Why is that important? Because look at that. That’s 23 percentage points less than Hillary Clinton won it by. This is a sign of the Hispanic movement that we saw last cycle, right, where we saw, although Hispanics still favored the Democratic candidate in Joe Biden, they were less likely to favor him than they did Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama both times. And it’s not just there that happened. We saw it in Hispanic precincts and counties across the country from southeast Florida, southern Texas, even in the Los Angeles area.”
Enten went on to explain how Biden’s lead over Trump among Hispanics in the Bronx area has dwindled to just 7 points.
“We saw a trend among Hispanic voters from 2016 to 2020, where they became less Democratic,” the data analyst said. “Look at the trend that we’re seeing right now in the polling, right? So, if you look back at Hispanic voters at this point in the 2020 cycle, Joe Biden had a 25 point lead. Look at where that lead is today. It’s just seven points. Donald Trump right now at 44%, if that held, would be the best performance for a Republican candidate among Hispanic voters since George W. Bush back in 2004.”
“And this is part of a larger trend line, Kate, that we’re seeing among nonwhite voters, we see among black voters as well – we’ve discussed that on this program before – whereby they’re much more favorable to Donald Trump than they were four years ago. And of course, Donald Trump did better amongst both of those groups in 2020 versus how he did in 2016.”
Enten went on to explain that if Biden wants to offset Trump’s support from the Hispanic community, he will need to court white liberal voters in the Great Lakes region.
“If you look nationally, Hispanics make up about 10% of likely voters,” he explained. “All right, so where do they make up a lower percentage of that? They make him up in the Great Lake battleground states … 3% in Michigan, 2% of Pennsylvania, 4% in Wisconsin. We have been harping over and over and over again that Joe Biden’s best path to reelection is to run through the Great Lakes and polling and results that we saw like in Crotona Park in 2020 and the polling that we see in 2024 just reinforce that.”
“He [Biden] is going to probably do best where white voters make up the vast majority of voters,” Enten described. “He still has a path to 270 at this point, even though he’s doing poorly, more poorly amongst Hispanics and black voters than he did four years ago because his numbers seem to be holding with white voters who make up the vast majority of voters in those Great Lake battleground states.”
Covering Trump’s rally on the ground Thursday, a CNN correspondent admitted the size of the audience was a bad indicator for Biden, saying, “It’s certainly a bigger crowd than I think Democrats would like to see, particularly given this is one of the bluest counties in the entire country!”
Even CNN is admitting President Trump’s rally in the Bronx was a massive success:
“Certainly a bigger crowd than I think Democrats would like to see, particularly given this is one of the bluest counties in the entire country!” 🔥 pic.twitter.com/XScfuQmnVa
— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) May 24, 2024
As Biden grows more decrepit by the day, the legacy media is seeing the writing on the wall and panic is beginning to set in.
